Rams vs Seahawks prediction and analysis

Game Context

The Los Angeles Rams (7-2) host the Seattle Seahawks (7-2) in a marquee NFC matchup at SoFi Stadium. Both clubs arrive on four-game winning streaks and sit atop their respective NFC conversations, making this a true head-to-head test of two balanced teams. The market currently lists the Rams as slight favorites (Rams -3.5) with an over/under near 48.5.

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What to Watch — Xs and Os

This is a classic clash of passing explosions and complementary run games. Matthew Stafford has been pinpoint this season, completing roughly 67% of his throws for about 2,427 yards with an exceptional touchdown-to-interception ratio (25:2). He has two elite targets in Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, who between them have been the Rams’ primary big-play engines.

Sam Darnold has been efficient for Seattle — completing north of 71% of his attempts with roughly 2,262 yards, 17 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. The Seahawks supplement Darnold with Kenneth Walker III on the ground and a strong receiving corps headlined by Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp.

Key Matchups

• Rams pass rush vs. Seahawks protection: Los Angeles has generated pressure and turnovers at timely moments. If the Rams can disrupt Darnold early, they force Seattle out of rhythm and limit Walker’s space in the run game.
• Stafford to Puka/Davante vs. Seattle secondary: The Seahawks’ secondary has been competent this year (allowing roughly 19.1 points per game overall), but matchups against elite route-runners will be decisive. Puka’s home numbers at SoFi are notable and present a consistent challenge.
• Rushing battle: Both teams average just over 110 rushing yards per game, so control of the line of scrimmage and second-level tackling will determine time of possession and clock control late in the contest.

Trends and Situational Factors

• Rams have been strong as favorites on Sundays over an extended stretch; they play well at home in high-profile slots.
• Seahawks historically travel well on Sunday and have covered as road underdogs in recent weeks — Seattle’s roster plays with physicality and discipline on the road.
• Many recent meetings and SoFi Sunday games have trended UNDER the total. With two efficient offenses and defenses that can bend without breaking, a controlled tempo could push this game to the lower end of scoring expectations.

Injury and Roster Notes

Coming into this game both teams report improving health in key areas (Rams getting healthier around the offensive skill group, Seahawks enjoying a stable offensive line and backfield). Because last-minute injuries can swing close lines, monitor status reports through gameday, especially for primary receivers and front-seven personnel. Any late absences on either offensive line would tilt the game toward the opposing pass rush.

Analytical Angle

Matchup-wise the Rams boast the edge in explosive passing and a slightly better points-allowed figure (about 17.0 PPG vs. Seattle’s ~19.1 PPG). Stafford’s low interception total and the Rams’ ability to convert turnovers into short fields are meaningful advantages in a game expected to be close. Seattle’s efficiency under Sam Darnold and the run support of Kenneth Walker keep them in every game, however, and their ability to win the field-position battle on the road shouldn’t be overlooked.

Prediction Summary

Expect a tight, physical game decided by a handful of plays. I project the Rams to have a narrow edge thanks to home-field advantage, big-play potential through Stafford to Puka Nacua/Davante Adams and a defense that has been stingy all year. Seattle’s offense is more efficient than it gets credit for, and their ability to limit mistakes will keep this within a field-goal swing.

Game projection: Rams 27, Seahawks 24 — a 3-point margin. Given the bookmaker’s Rams -3.5 number, that makes a lean toward taking the home favorites with the points or the moneyline, while also respecting the likelihood of a low-to-moderate scoring affair.

Betting Angles

• Primary pick: Rams -3.5 (or Rams moneyline if price is reasonable).
• Secondary angle: Consider the Under 48.5 — both defenses can force punts and short fields, and recent SoFi Sunday games have skewed lower-scoring.
• Player props: Look at Puka Nacua receiving yards and Kyren Williams anytime touchdown markets—both have strong usage and home production.

Final prediction: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (Rams 27, Seahawks 24).