Washington State vs Utah State prediction and analysis

Washington State vs Utah State Matchup Overview

The upcoming college football game between the Washington State Cougars and the Utah State Aggies presents an intriguing betting scenario, grounded in contrasting recent performances and statistical trends. Washington State has been struggling particularly in December, losing eight out of nine games during this month, whereas Utah State has demonstrated consistent ability to cover the spread in non-conference matchups, doing so in their last four games.

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Key Factors Affecting the Outcome

• Recent History and Form: Washington State’s December woes and inability to cover spreads against non-AP-ranked teams raises concerns about their ability to perform under pressure late in the season. Conversely, Utah State’s sound performance against non-conference teams underlines their preparedness and consistency.
• Defensive and Offensive Tendencies: Both teams have tended to play in lower-scoring games recently, with six of Washington State’s last seven non-conference contests going under the total points line, and Utah State showing a similar trend in five of their last six games. This suggests a game that could be more defensively oriented or at least controlled on offense.
• Statistical Strengths:
  • Utah State’s standout first quarter scoring (ranked 18th in FBS with 8.7 points per game) could give them an early advantage.
  • However, their defensive weakness in the second quarter, ranking near the bottom (119th) in opponents’ points allowed, may balance the scoring intensity throughout the game.
  • Washington State’s ability to convert on 4th downs (second-best nationally at 73.7%) and their history of close road losses point towards a team that can keep games tight but has struggled to close them out.

Prediction Summary

Considering the recent form and statistical edges, Utah State appears to hold a subtle advantage, particularly with their propensity to start games strongly and maintain consistent performance versus non-conference teams. Washington State’s struggles in close road losses and underperforming trends in December suggest they may continue to falter against a well-prepared Aggies squad. The under trend in total points is likely to persist given both teams’ recent low-scoring affairs and defensive tendencies.

Final Prediction

Expect Utah State to cover the spread in a defensively tight game that stays under the total points line. While Washington State will keep the game close, Utah State’s early scoring flourish and consistency should be decisive.

Prediction: Utah State Aggies to Cover & Under the Total Points Line