Washington State vs Ole Miss prediction and analysis

Game Overview

On October 11, 2025, the Washington State Cougars (3-2) will travel to face the unbeaten Ole Miss Rebels (5-0) at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Ole Miss enters this contest as a heavy favorite, with a substantial 32.5-point spread and a total points over/under set at 58.5. This matchup will test Washington State’s resilience against a dominant Ole Miss squad that has been especially formidable at home against non-conference foes.

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Key Factors and Team Trends

• Ole Miss Home Dominance: Ole Miss has a commanding 15-game winning streak at home versus non-conference opponents, demonstrating consistent superiority on this stage. Additionally, the Rebels have covered the spread in their last eight non-conference games, reflecting their ability to outperform expectations.
• Washington State Road Struggles: The Cougars have faced difficulty as underdogs on the road, especially against highly ranked teams, having lost their last seven away games against top-15 AP-ranked opponents. They have also failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games.
• First Half Momentum: Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last 15 non-conference home games and dominated the opening quarter in their last 10 such games. Washington State, conversely, has shown some strength in first halves, winning 16 of their last 20 games in the opening period when playing non-conference opponents.
• Scoring Trends: Both teams tend to play under the expected totals in October affairs, with Ole Miss’s last six October games and Washington State’s 11 of last 13 October outings going under. This suggests a more controlled game tempo or strong defensive efforts.
• Offensive Weapons: Washington State’s Trinidad Chambliss is on a hot streak, having surpassed 300 passing yards in three consecutive games, tying for the longest such streak in the FBS currently. Additionally, Trey Leckner leads the Pac-12 in receiving touchdowns, indicating potential for high-impact passing plays.
• Close-Game Experience: Ole Miss has demonstrated an ability to win tight home games this season, with multiple victories decided by narrow margins. Washington State also has shown resilience in close matches, particularly at home, which might translate into fight on the road.

Prediction Summary

While Washington State possesses some offensive capabilities, especially in its passing game, Ole Miss’s home dominance, strong first-half play, and ability to cover big spreads against non-conference teams make them a heavy favorite in this clash. The Rebels’ winning streak against non-conference opponents at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, coupled with Washington State’s struggles on the road versus elite teams, leans heavily toward an Ole Miss victory.

Considering the trends of under-the-total scoring in October games for both teams, the final score might not be as high as the current betting line suggests, but Ole Miss’s talent and depth should be too much for Washington State to overcome.

Final Prediction

Ole Miss Rebels to win comfortably, covering the 32.5-point spread.