Tulsa vs New Mexico State prediction and analysis

September 5, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Game Overview

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will face the New Mexico State Aggies on September 6, 2025, in what promises to be a competitive matchup. Both teams enter the game undefeated at 1-0, looking to build early momentum in their respective seasons. Tulsa is favored as a slight underdog at -3.5, with betting odds reflecting a close contest. The total points line sits at 52.5, hinting at a moderately scoring game.

Key Factors Favoring Tulsa

  • Stronger Offensive Firepower: Tulsa has demonstrated a balanced and efficient offense in their season opener, combining a solid passing attack with a productive ground game.
  • Experience & Coaching: Tulsa’s coaching staff has shown an ability to prepare their team well in early-season games, especially against underdog opponents.
  • Home Field Advantage: Playing at home gives Tulsa an extra boost, supported by a passionate crowd which can disrupt New Mexico State’s rhythm.

Reasons New Mexico State Could Pull Off the Upset

  • Strong Defensive Play: New Mexico State’s defense was tough in their opening game, forcing turnovers and limiting big plays.
  • Motivation and Momentum: Coming off a solid 1-0 start, the Aggies will be motivated to prove their worth against a more recognized program like Tulsa.
  • Ability to Control Tempo: New Mexico State might try to slow the game down, focusing on ball control to keep Tulsa’s offense off the field.

Prediction Summary

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This game is shaping up to be a tight contest given both teams’ 1-0 records and momentum early in the season. Tulsa’s balanced offense and home-field advantage should be enough to outscore New Mexico State, but the Aggies’ defensive resilience could keep this game close. Expect a competitive game with some swings in momentum.

Final Prediction: Tulsa to win by a narrow margin, 28-24.