Tulane vs Memphis prediction and analysis
Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave: Week 11 Matchup Overview
On November 7, 2025, the Memphis Tigers (8-1) host the Tulane Green Wave (6-2) in a pivotal American Athletic Conference clash scheduled for 9:00 PM EST. With Memphis favored by 6.5 points and an over/under set at 55.5, this game promises to be a tightly contested battle between two playoff-contending squads.
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Key Team and Player Insights
- Cutter Braham: Tulane’s standout receiver leads the American Conference with seven receiving touchdowns, making him a prime weapon against Memphis’s secondary.
- Patrick Durkin: Memphis’s reliable kicker tops the conference in field goals made this year with 14, highlighting the Tigers’ ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Memphis has displayed resilience in close games, securing two home victories by five points or fewer, and two by margins of three points or less, indicating that this squad thrives under pressure and is battle-tested in tight contests. Meanwhile, Tulane has secured three narrow home wins by ten points or less, demonstrating their ability to close out games but also hinting at some defensive vulnerabilities late in games.
One notable weakness for Tulane has been their fourth-quarter defense, surrendering 8.8 points per game in the final quarter, ranking them 121st in the FBS. This could be a critical factor against a Memphis offense that has shown poise and efficiency in late-game situations.
Game Dynamics to Watch
- Memphis Home-Field Edge: The Tigers’ strong home record combined with their proficiency in close games gives them an edge in maintaining composure during key moments.
- Offensive Matchups: Tulane’s passing attack, led by Braham, will test Memphis’s secondary, while Memphis’s balanced offense leaning on efficient field goals provides scoring depth.
- Late-Game Performance: Given Tulane’s struggles defensively in the fourth quarter, Memphis’s ability to execute in crunch time could be the deciding factor.
Prediction Summary
Considering the statistical trends, home advantage, and critical player impacts, Memphis is positioned well to cover the 6.5 point spread against Tulane. The Tigers’ knack for winning close home games and their superior late-game defense suggest they will edge Tulane in a competitive matchup.
Final Prediction: Memphis wins 31-24, covering the spread.
