Texas vs Mississippi State prediction and analysis

October 22, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

On October 25, 2025, the Texas Longhorns (5-2) will host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) in what promises to be a compelling college football matchup. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15 PM EDT, with the Bulldogs entering as a seven-point underdog. The over/under is set at 44.5 points, reflecting expectations of a moderately competitive game.

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Key Factors Impacting the Game

  • Recent Form: Texas has shown strong performance this season with a 5-2 record. The Longhorns have demonstrated offensive efficiency and defensive resilience in key matchups.
  • Mississippi State’s Season: Mississippi State’s 4-3 record indicates some inconsistency but also potential. They are fighting for bowl eligibility, adding motivation to perform well against a tough Texas squad.
  • Historical Matchup: This will be only their sixth meeting in over a century, with Texas holding a slight edge in recent contests (2-3 over the last five matchups). Historically, the games have been competitive, with the largest long-standing margin of victory being Texas’s 28-10 win back in 1992.
  • Player Highlights: Texas boasts talented offensive weapons including key contributors on passing and rushing. Mississippi State’s roster features notable players such as B. LanierS, F. Bothwell, and several defensive standouts aiming to control the pace of the game.
  • Betting Angle: The seven-point spread suggests respect for Texas’s home field advantage and consistent performance but also acknowledges Mississippi State’s capability to keep the game close.

Prediction Summary

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Texas’s combination of offensive firepower and solid defense should give them the edge on their home turf. Mississippi State will make this competitive, but recent performances hint that Texas can control the game in crucial moments to secure a victory by a touchdown or so. The over/under of 44.5 points aligns with expectations of a balanced game, with Texas likely putting up enough points to cover the spread.

Final Prediction

Texas Longhorns to win by 7 points or slightly more. Prediction: Texas -7.