Texas State vs Louisiana prediction and analysis

November 3, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Matchup Overview

On November 8, 2025, the Texas State Bobcats will face the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns in what promises to be a tight contest. Both teams enter this matchup with similar records; Texas State stands at 3-5 while Louisiana is slightly behind at 3-6. The betting line currently has Louisiana as a slight 2.5-point underdog, with the over/under set at 64.5 points. Given the trajectory of both squads this season and their recent performances, this game could provide intriguing betting opportunities.

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Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

  • Season performance: Texas State has faced challenges this season, posting a 3-5 record, but they have shown flashes of competitiveness, especially on offense.
  • Offensive strengths: The Bobcats possess a dynamic passing game, with a quarterback capable of spreading the field and multiple playmakers at receiver positions.
  • Defensive considerations: Defensively, Texas State has struggled against the run, which could be a liability against a strong rushing attack.
  • Recent form: They have shown resilience in close games, often managing to stay competitive until the final whistle.
  • Home field advantage: This game will take place at Texas State’s home venue, potentially giving them an edge, especially late in the season.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview

  • Season performance: Louisiana’s 3-6 record reflects inconsistency, but they have had moments where their offense has found rhythm.
  • Offensive capabilities: The Ragin’ Cajuns excel in their rushing attack, typically leaning on a powerful ground game to control the clock and tempo.
  • Defensive outlook: Their defense tends to falter in high-scoring affairs, which will be a concern given Texas State’s passing threats.
  • Motivation and momentum: Louisiana could be motivated to avoid back-to-back losses as they seek to close out their season on a positive note.

Prediction Summary

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This game is poised to be close, with both teams boasting their strengths in different areas. Texas State’s aerial attack will test Louisiana’s secondary, while Louisiana’s run game will run up against a Texas State defense that has shown vulnerabilities against the run. Playing at home is a significant advantage for Texas State, who are likely to leverage crowd support and familiarity with the playing conditions.

Given the closely matched teams, the slight home-field edge, and the betting line favoring Louisiana by a narrow margin, the smart play leans towards Texas State covering the spread or possibly winning outright. The total of 64.5 suggests a moderately high-scoring game, which fits the offensive styles of both squads.

Final Prediction

Texas State Bobcats to win the game outright, with the final score predicted to be in a range of 31-27, making Texas State a solid pick against the spread as well.

Prediction: Texas State -2.5