Texas A&M vs Notre Dame prediction and analysis

Game Overview

This Saturday night, September 13, 2025, the Texas A&M Aggies (2-0) will visit the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (0-1) at the iconic Notre Dame Stadium. The Fighting Irish, ranked No. 9 nationally, are looking to rebound from a narrow season-opening loss, while the Aggies, ranked No. 17, come off a commanding 44-22 home victory and aim to make a statement on the road early in the season. The betting line currently favors Notre Dame by 7 points with an over/under of 49.5.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Team Analysis

• Record & Ranking: 0-1 start but currently No. 9 nationally.
• Season opener recap: A close 24-27 loss at Miami, with slightly fewer total yards (314 vs 324), but they won the turnover battle (2-0).
• Offense: Quarterback CJ Carr completed 19 of 30 passes for 221 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Running back Jadarian Price led with 45 rushing yards. Receiving core led by Eli Raridon with 97 yards on 5 catches.
• Defense: Standouts include Jalen Stroman with 9 tackles and Boubacar Traore with 1 sack. Notre Dame recorded no interceptions in their opener.
• Discipline & Efficiency: Poor third-down conversion at 4 for 9 and highly penalized with 5 penalties for 30 yards.
• Home advantage: Notre Dame went 7-2 at home last year and had one of the best ATS (against the spread) records nationally (10-2).

Texas A&M Aggies Team Analysis

• Record & Ranking: 2-0 start and ranked No.17 nationally.
• Recent performance: Impressive 44-22 win against Utah State, outgaining the opponent 554-250 yards.
• Offense: QB Marcel Reed threw for 220 yards and 3 touchdowns on 19/28 completions. Running back Le’Veon Moss contributed 68 rushing yards and a touchdown. KC Concepcion caught 6 passes for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns.
• Defense: Defensive highlights include Scooby Williams with 6 tackles and Cashius Howell recording 3 sacks. No interceptions in the last game but had one forced turnover.
• Penalties & Efficiency: Poor third-down efficiency at 5/13 and sloppy with five penalties totaling 54 yards.
• Road struggles & ATS: Historically, Texas A&M has struggled to cover the spread on the road, going 2-3 ATS last season and 3-9 ATS overall away from home.

Matchup and Key Factors

• Previous meeting: Last season, Notre Dame won 23-13 on the road, covering the spread as 3-point underdogs.
• Offensive firepower: Texas A&M averages 43 points per game and boasts a potent offense, but their efficiency on third downs and penalties could hurt them.
• Home field edge: Notre Dame is historically dominant at home with a solid record both straight up and ATS.
• Turnover and discipline battle: Notre Dame’s ability to win the turnover battle and maintain discipline will be crucial to slow down Texas A&M’s high-powered offense.
• Game pace expectations: The over/under suggests a moderately high scoring affair (around 50 points), but with the physical styles of both teams, the scoring might be closer to the total.

Prediction Summary

Notre Dame, as a strong home favorite, benefits from both venue and familiarity advantages. Their solid defensive front and turnover capability should challenge Texas A&M’s dynamic offense. While the Aggies are explosive, key efficiency issues and historical struggles away from home temper expectations for an upset.

Expect Notre Dame to edge out a win in a competitive, moderately high-scoring game. The Fighting Irish will likely cover the 7-point spread as they aim to secure their first home victory of the season and solidify their top-10 ranking.

Final Prediction

Notre Dame -7