Temple vs North Texas prediction and analysis

November 24, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Game Context and Key Players

As Week 14 unfolds, the Temple Owls face off against the North Texas Mean Green in a compelling matchup defined largely by offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities. Temple enters this contest with notable challenges on defense, especially in the early stages of the game and in run defense. Meanwhile, North Texas boasts arguably the most potent offense across the FBS this season, led by a standout quarterback and one of college football’s premier scorers.

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Offensive Strengths and Defensive Concerns

  • North Texas Offense: The Mean Green are first in the FBS for yards per game, averaging over 500 yards, and they’ve demonstrated consistency by scoring at least 45 points in four separate road games this season. Quarterback Evan Simon is among a rare group of FBS quarterbacks who have thrown 20-plus touchdowns while limiting interceptions to fewer than five, an indicator of efficiency and ball security.
  • Temple Defense: The Owls rank near the bottom in multiple defensive categories, including 125th in opponent first-quarter points and 122nd in rushing yards allowed per game. This vulnerability on the ground suggests they may struggle to contain North Texas’s balanced offensive attack.
  • Key Players to Watch: Caleb Hawkins of North Texas leads the FBS in touchdowns this season with 22, adding a significant scoring threat either through the air or on the ground.

What to Expect

North Texas’s high-octane offense combined with Temple’s defensive struggles sets the stage for a high scoring game tilted in the visitors’ favor. The Mean Green’s ability to put up points in bunches on the road is especially concerning for the Owls, whose weakness against the run and soft defensive starts may allow North Texas to establish momentum early and keep a sustained offensive push throughout the game.

Prediction Summary

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Given the offensive firepower of North Texas and Temple’s defensive shortcomings, the Mean Green are well-positioned to control the tempo and rack up points. North Texas’s consistency in scoring and total yardage per game suggests a decisive advantage, especially on the road against a team with evident defensive flaws.

Final Prediction: North Texas Mean Green to win comfortably, covering the spread by at least two touchdowns.