Temple vs Army prediction and analysis
Matchup Overview
This week’s college football clash between the Temple Owls and the Army Black Knights presents a compelling battle of styles and recent trends. Army boasts an impressive rushing attack and a strong historical trend against Pennsylvania teams, while Temple looks to overcome a difficult November road game history and defensive vulnerabilities.
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Key Trends and Statistics
- Army’s Dominance vs. Pennsylvania Teams: Army has won its last eight games against teams from Pennsylvania, showing consistency against regional opponents.
- Temple’s Road Struggles in November: The Owls have lost their last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams and have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road conference games, indicating difficulties when playing away late in the season.
- Recent Spread Performance: Army has covered the spread in their last three games as favorites over Pennsylvania teams, while Temple’s road performance against conference foes in covering the spread has been poor.
- Scoring Trends: Temple’s last six road conference games have gone over the total points line, suggesting games involving Temple on the road tend to be high scoring. In contrast, Army’s last five games versus non-AP-ranked teams have gone under, reflecting a more conservative or defensively sound style.
Player and Team Performance Highlights
- Rushing Prowess: Army ranks 4th nationally in rushing yards per game (265.3), anchored by standout player Cale Hellums, who is 5th in FBS rushing attempts this year with 173 carries.
- Passing Impact: Temple is led by quarterback Evan Simon, who ranks tied for 6th in the FBS with 21 passing touchdowns, showing potential for quick-strike offense.
- Defensive Considerations: Temple struggles defensively, ranking 123rd in rushing yards allowed per game (192.2) and 127th in 4th down conversion defense (70.6%), which could be critical against Army’s dominant ground game.
- Quarter Performance: Army ranks 11th in limiting opponent points during the 2nd quarter (4.3 points per game), showcasing their ability to control momentum and reduce scoring opportunities.
Prediction Summary
Army’s exceptional rushing attack and strong historical trends against Pennsylvania teams give the Black Knights a significant edge in this matchup. Temple’s defensive shortcomings against the run and recent struggles in November road games create a tough environment for the Owls. While Temple’s high-powered passing game could spark offensive bursts, Army’s disciplined defense and ground control should prevail.
Expect a physical and strategic battle dominated by Army’s running game and efficient defense, likely controlling the clock and pace. Temple may find moments of success through the air, but controlling Army’s rushing attack will be the decisive factor.
Final Prediction
Army Black Knights to win comfortably, covering the spread as favorites. Look for a final score differential around two touchdowns.
