Southern Mississippi vs Arkansas State prediction and analysis
Game Overview
On November 8, 2025, the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (5-5-7) will face off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) in a pivotal college football matchup. Both teams are looking to solidify their bowl eligibility and build momentum late in the season. The game kicks off at 12:00 PM EST and is set against the betting line favoring Southern Miss by 5.5 points, with the over/under total sitting at 59.5 points.
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview
Southern Miss holds a moderate record this season, hovering around .500 with a 5-5-7 mark. The Golden Eagles have struggled somewhat with time of possession, ranking near the bottom of the FBS at 119th with an average drive duration of 28 minutes per game. This suggests potential challenges in controlling the tempo and keeping their defense off the field. However, Southern Miss has had flashes of strong offensive production, which will be critical in a game projected to be moderately high scoring.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Red Wolves come into this matchup with a slightly better record at 5-4. Notably, Arkansas State boasts a more effective time of possession, sitting 53rd in the FBS with an average of 30 minutes and 36 seconds. This advantage could translate into better clock control and more scoring opportunities. Arkansas State’s defense has also been impactful in key moments, recording nine sacks in a recent win over Troy, highlighting their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks. Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has been efficient, recently throwing for 247 yards and two touchdowns while completing 21 of 29 attempts, making this offense a threat to exploit defenses.
Key Factors & Matchup Analysis
- Time of Possession: Arkansas State’s ability to maintain possession longer than Southern Miss could wear down the Golden Eagles’ defense.
- Defensive Pressure: The Red Wolves’ pass rush has proven effective, evidenced by their nine sacks against Troy; disrupting Southern Miss’ quarterback could be a decisive factor.
- Offensive Efficiency: Jaylen Raynor’s recent performances showcase a balanced and efficient attack that can capitalize on scoring chances.
- Game Tempo: Southern Miss’ struggle to sustain drives may hamper their scoring consistency in this matchup.
- Betting Line & Over/Under: With Arkansas State as +5.5 underdogs and the total set near 60 points, there’s potential value in a competitive game that could go either way, especially considering the Red Wolves’ strengths.
Prediction Summary
Taking all these elements into account, Arkansas State’s ability to control possession and exert pressure on Southern Miss’ offense gives them a solid chance to keep this game close. Southern Miss may hold a slight edge as the favorite, but the Red Wolves’ recent performances suggest they can cover the spread, especially at home or in a neutral field environment. The moderately high over/under indicates both teams have the potential to produce points, but Arkansas State’s defensive strengths might limit Southern Miss enough to keep the contest within a touchdown.
Final Prediction: Arkansas State +5.5 (cover the spread)
