South Florida vs UAB prediction and analysis

Matchup Overview

The upcoming Week 13 clash between the South Florida Bulls and the UAB Blazers presents an intriguing contest between two teams struggling to find consistent form late in the season. South Florida alternates wins and losses in their last four games, while UAB has endured a rough patch, losing three consecutive matchups. Both teams have displayed patterns worth analyzing for this important game.

Recommended Sports Betting Sites

Key Trends and Statistical Insights

• South Florida road performance: The Bulls have a tough track record on the road in November, dropping 14 of their last 16 games, showing they often struggle away from home late in the season.
• Home field advantage for UAB: The home team has taken seven of the past eight meetings involving South Florida, with the favorite winning nine of UAB’s last 10 games overall.
• Betting trends: UAB has failed to cover the spread in six straight games versus non-AP-ranked opponents, while South Florida has failed to cover in five of their last six November games as a road favorite.
• Scoring tendencies: South Florida leads the FBS in second-half points per game (22.0) and has averaged an impressive 50.3 points over their last seven games, the highest in the nation over that span.
• First quarter and half dynamics: South Florida has won the first quarter and first half in three of their last four conference games, but UAB ranks near the bottom nationally in points allowed in Q1 and first half (12.2 and 23.5 points per game respectively), indicating a potential early scoring advantage for USF.
• Players to watch: Solomon Beebe is a key special teams weapon for USF, ranking 8th nationally in kick return yards, while UAB’s Chas Nimrod stands out with a 20.3 yards per reception average, ranking 6th among qualified receivers.
• Over trends: Both teams have seen recent games frequently go over the total points line, particularly South Florida’s recent November road games and UAB’s contests against Florida-based teams.

Game Outlook

This matchup pits a potent South Florida offense against a UAB defense that has struggled, especially in the early stages of games. The Bulls’ ability to consistently score points in the second half and their strong start pattern suggests they can build and maintain a lead. Although USF has not been strong on the road in November historically, the specific weakness of UAB’s defense in the first half provides a window for South Florida to assert dominance early.

UAB’s home field edge and the presence of playmaker Chas Nimrod give the Blazers tools to keep the game competitive. However, their failure to cover spreads against non-ranked teams and defensive vulnerabilities make it difficult for them to secure a win here.

Prediction Summary

Considering the offensive firepower of South Florida, their strong first-half tendencies, and UAB’s defensive issues, expect a high-scoring affair with the Bulls likely controlling the game tempo. The over is a strong possibility given recent trends. Despite South Florida’s road struggles in November historically, this game plays out differently due to matchups and current form.

Final Prediction: South Florida Bulls to win, covering the spread in a high-scoring game.