Oklahoma vs Temple prediction and analysis
Matchup Overview
On Saturday, September 13, 2025, the Oklahoma Sooners will visit the Temple Owls at Chapman Stadium in a Week 3 non-conference college football game. Both teams enter the matchup undefeated at 2-0, but the Sooners come in with a strong ranking at No. 49 nationally, while Temple sits at No. 127. Oklahoma is heavily favored with a -24.5 point spread, reflecting the significant gap in perceived quality between the two squads.
Temple Owls Team Analysis
- Record & Ranking: 2-0 start, ranked No. 127.
- Recent Performance: Dominant 55-7 home win over Buffalo; they outgained opponents 560-121 yards.
- Offense: Efficient passing attack led by Evan Simon (8/10, 174 yards, 3 TDs last game) and impressive rushing efforts with Jay Ducker contributing 87 yards on the ground.
- Defense: Strong defensive standouts include Javier Morton (5 tackles) and Cam’Ron Stewart (2 sacks) with a notable turnover play by Adrian Laing.
- Trends: Temple has struggled historically against AP-ranked opponents, having lost eight straight. However, their defense has been exceptional in the third and fourth quarters this season, allowing 0 points during these periods.
Oklahoma Sooners Team Analysis
- Record & Ranking: 2-0 start, ranked No. 49.
- Recent Performance: A tough 24-13 victory over Michigan demonstrates their competitiveness, outgaining Michigan by 408-288 yards.
- Offense: Quarterback John Mateer has shown dual-threat capabilities with 270 passing yards, a touchdown, one interception, and 74 rushing yards with two rushing TDs.
- Defense: Solid tackle contributions by Owen Heinecke and pass-rush pressure from Sammy Omosigho who recorded a half sack.
- Trends: Oklahoma has dominated their September road games historically, winning each of their last eight. The team has also covered the spread in seven of last eight September games as a favorite.
Head-to-Head & Betting Insights
Last season’s lone meeting was a blowout with Oklahoma winning 51-3 at home, covering a large spread (-42.5). This year, the spread is still large but less daunting at -24.5 in favor of Oklahoma. However, Temple has been improving and has managed to cover the spread in its last two games, while Oklahoma is 1-1 ATS this season. Temple’s recent dominant defense and efficient offense suggest they could keep this game more competitive than expected.
Additional insights include:
- Oklahoma has struggled as a road favorite in recent years, failing to cover the spread in their last four such games.
- Temple’s home-field advantage is significant; the home team has won seven of Temple‘s last nine games and covered the spread in seven of their last eight.
- Scoring trends show a contrast since Temple’s recent games have favored the over on points, whereas Oklahoma’s recent contests trend under.
Prediction Summary
Taking into account both teams’ current form, historical trends, and betting lines, Oklahoma remains the stronger team on paper and is expected to win on the road. However, Temple’s stout defense in the later quarters and home-field advantage should keep the game closer than the odds imply. Expect a competitive first half with Oklahoma leveraging their experience and talent to pull away in the second half.
Final Prediction: Oklahoma to win but fail to cover the large 24.5-point spread. A more realistic margin would be a 14 to 17-point victory for the Sooners.
