Oklahoma State vs Kansas prediction and analysis
Game Overview
On November 1, 2025, the Oklahoma State Cowboys will travel to Lawrence to face the Kansas Jayhawks at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. The Cowboys enter this matchup with a challenging 1-7 record, while Kansas holds a more competitive 4-4 slate. The betting line currently favors the Jayhawks heavily at -25, with an over/under set at 57.5 points.
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Key Factors and Team Trends
- Home Field Edge: The home team has dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last five Oklahoma State-Kansas clashes. This trend favors Kansas as they host this game.
- Oklahoma State Road Struggles: The Cowboys have lost eight consecutive road games, including the recent failure to cover the spread in each of their last six road contests. This indicates road adversity and points to a tough environment in Lawrence.
- Spread Trends: While Oklahoma State has struggled as an underdog on the road, the favorite has covered the spread in each of Oklahoma State’s last four games at Kansas Memorial Stadium, hinting at Kansas likely covering the -25 point spread.
- Offensive Production: Kansas ranks near the bottom (126th) nationally in fourth-quarter scoring (3.5 points per game) and third-down conversion percentage (32.7%), signaling some offensive inefficiency late in games.
- Oklahoma State Second Quarter Woes: The Cowboys have the longest active losing streak in FBS second quarters, having lost this quarter in seven straight games and hold a poor point differential in second quarters (-8.5), which could hurt their ability to stay competitive momentum-wise early in the game.
- Scoring Trends: Interestingly, eight of Oklahoma State’s last nine November road games against non-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line, while four of Kansas’s last five games against Oklahoma-based opponents have gone OVER the total, making the point total prediction nuanced.
Game Outlook and Prediction Summary
Considering these trends, Kansas has clear advantages at home and is favored heavily by 25 points. Oklahoma State’s ongoing difficulties on the road and in maintaining second-quarter effectiveness make it unlikely they will keep this game close. Although Kansas has offensive shortcomings late in games, their home dominance and trend of covering the spread here make them a strong bet.
The over/under sits at 57.5 points, and the combination of Kansas’s somewhat inconsistent offense and Oklahoma State’s scoring struggles suggests a game closer to the total but perhaps slightly under, especially given Oklahoma State’s recent history hitting UNDER against similar opponents on the road.
Prediction Summary
Final Prediction: Kansas covers the 25-point spread and wins comfortably, with the game likely finishing just under the total points line of 57.5.
