Missouri vs Arkansas prediction and analysis
Matchup Overview
The Missouri Tigers travel to face the Arkansas Razorbacks in a pivotal Week 14 matchup that could carry significant weight in their respective conference standings. Both teams have shown competitive grit throughout the season, evident from Arkansas’s string of close games and Missouri’s stout defensive metrics.
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Key Factors to Consider
- Pass Rush Impact: Missouri’s Quincy Rhodes Jr. has been a disruptive force on defense with 8 sacks, placing him tied for 15th nationally. His ability to pressure Arkansas’s quarterback could prove crucial in limiting big plays.
- Rushing Prowess: Arkansas’s Ahmad Hardy ranks second in the nation in rushing yards with 1,403 yards, making him a constant threat to control the tempo and gain critical yards on the ground.
- Close Contests: Arkansas has experienced five nail-biters decided by three points or fewer this season, tying for the most in FBS. This demonstrates their resilience but also highlights a pattern of tight finishes that could swing either way.
- Second Quarter Strength: Arkansas excels offensively in the second quarter, averaging 13.8 points per game in that frame, ranking second among FBS teams. Momentum gained in this quarter often sets the tone for the rest of the game.
- Defensive Stability: Missouri boasts a strong defense, ranking 10th in yards allowed per game (277.4) and 10th in limiting first downs (172). This disciplined defense will aim to contain Arkansas’s dynamic offense.
Prediction Summary
This game should be an intense, evenly matched battle with both teams bringing distinct strengths. Missouri’s defense will try to stifle Arkansas’s potent rushing attack, while Arkansas will look to leverage its knack for clutch performances and second-quarter surges.
Given Missouri’s strong defensive stats and a defensive standout in Rhodes Jr., they could limit Hardy more than usual. However, Arkansas’s resilience in close games and their ability to get points early in the second quarter can tilt the momentum.
Expect a tightly contested game that may come down to a few key defensive stops or special teams plays. The decision could hinge on which team better executes under pressure.
Final Prediction
Missouri Tigers to edge out Arkansas Razorbacks in a close game, winning by a field goal margin.
