Missouri State vs Kennesaw State prediction and analysis

Missouri State Bears vs. Kennesaw State Owls Week 13 Preview

This Week 13 matchup between the Missouri State Bears and the Kennesaw State Owls promises to be a tightly contested affair. Missouri State arrives at this game on a strong run, boasting a five-game winning streak. Conversely, Kennesaw State is looking to bounce back from the setback that snapped their seven-game win streak, particularly rallying on home turf where they have excelled this season.

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Key Team Trends and Statistics

• Kennesaw State Owls: Showing dominance at home, the Owls have won their last six games on their field and have covered the spread in those matchups against conference foes. They are known for their aggressive starts, winning the first quarter in three of their last four conference home games and the first half in five of six.
• Missouri State Bears: The Bears carry momentum, having won five straight and covered the spread in their last four games. They play a disciplined game, reflected in their high fourth-down conversion rate (70%), ranked tied 11th nationally, which often keeps their drives alive and pressures opponents.
• Defensive and Offensive Leaders: Elijah Hill from Missouri State leads Conference USA with 6.5 sacks, highlighting the Bears’ defensive prowess. Meanwhile, Kennesaw State’s Jacob Clark tops the conference in passing touchdowns (19), indicating a potent aerial attack to watch.
• The game trend suggests a defensive battle as eight of Missouri State’s last nine games and four of Kennesaw State’s previous five home contests have gone under the total points line.
• Missouri State’s knack for tight games (six of ten decided by seven points or less) signals their ability to perform under pressure, an important factor in a rivalry where margins could be slim.

Prediction Summary

Given the Owls’ strong home performance and ability to start fast, they could leverage early momentum. However, Missouri State’s recent form and efficiency on key plays like fourth downs make this matchup particularly close. The Bears’ defense, led by Elijah Hill’s pass-rushing threat, could disrupt Kennesaw State’s passing attack. Expect a physical, low-scoring contest with both teams protecting the ball carefully.

Kennesaw State’s recent struggles to cover the spread in November juxtaposed with Missouri State’s cover streak adds an interesting wagering angle favoring the Bears. The tight margins Missouri State thrives in indicate they can overcome the hostile home environment to extend their winning streak.

Final Prediction

Missouri State Bears to win a close game by a field goal margin.