Miami (OH) vs Buffalo prediction and analysis

November 17, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Game Overview

The Week 13 Mid-American Conference showdown features the Miami (OH) RedHawks traveling to face the Buffalo Bulls. Both teams are contending late in the season, making this contest pivotal for conference standings and bowl eligibility considerations.

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Key Player Matchups

  • Miami (OH) RedHawks: Wide receiver Nik McMillan has been a consistent offensive weapon, posting more than 100 receiving yards in at least three consecutive games, marking him as one of the nation's elite in this category.
  • Buffalo Bulls: Kamryn Perry stands out with an impressive 25.0 yards per reception average, leading all qualified FBS players. His ability to stretch the field will be vital in challenging Miami’s secondary.

Team Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Buffalo’s defense is notably stingy in the first quarter, allowing an average of just 2.4 points, the same as Miami (OH), indicating both teams start games with strong defensive discipline.
  • Buffalo has struggled converting on 4th downs with only a 35.0% success rate, ranking near the bottom nationally. This inefficiency could limit their scoring opportunities and momentum during critical situations.
  • Miami (OH) has excelled at creating turnovers with 12 interceptions this season, tying for 12th nationally. This ball-hawking ability could disrupt Buffalo’s passing game, especially with a deep threat like Perry on the field.

Prediction Summary

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Both teams boast strong first-quarter defensive stats, suggesting a tentative start, but Miami (OH)’s proficiency in forcing turnovers and having an explosive playmaker in McMillan could sway the momentum. Buffalo will rely heavily on Perry to create big plays and help overcome their deficiencies on critical 4th downs.

Given Miami (OH)’s defensive knack for interceptions and Buffalo’s lower conversion rate on 4th downs, Miami (OH) holds a slight advantage. The RedHawks’ ability to capitalize on turnovers and maintain pressure should secure them a narrow victory.

Final Prediction

Miami (OH) RedHawks to win by a touchdown margin. Prediction: Miami (OH) -6