Memphis vs Georgia State prediction and analysis

September 5, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Memphis Tigers vs Georgia State Panthers Overview

The Memphis Tigers (1-0) are set to face off against the Georgia State Panthers (0-1) on September 6, 2025, at 7:00 PM EDT. This matchup pits a confident Memphis squad coming off a strong opening win against a Georgia State team eager to rebound from an early setback. With the Panthers opening as 13.5-point underdogs and an over/under of 54.5, expectations lean heavily in favor of Memphis both on the scoreboard and in total points.

Key Factors Influencing the Game

  • Memphis Tigers’ Momentum: Memphis started their season with a convincing victory, showcasing a balanced offense and a defense that can disrupt opponents effectively. Their ability to execute in the trenches has provided both protection and run support, which bodes well against a struggling Georgia State defense.
  • Georgia State’s Struggles: The Panthers entered the season with high hopes but fell short in their opener. Offensively, they have yet to find rhythm, and questions remain about their quarterback consistency and offensive line depth. Defensively, stopping a versatile Memphis offense will require better tackling and communication.
  • Coaching and Experience: Memphis’s coaching staff has demonstrated solid game planning and in-game adjustments thus far, while Georgia State is still trying to establish stability and identity. This disparity could have a significant impact, especially if Memphis can control the clock and tempo.
  • Historical Context: While these teams have limited recent history against each other, Memphis generally holds an advantage in athleticism and depth, which often translates to dominance in the late stages of games.

Prediction Summary

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Given the strong start Memphis has made and the challenges Georgia State faces on both sides of the ball, Memphis is well positioned to cover the sizeable spread. Expect Memphis to control possession and pressure Georgia State’s offense, limiting their scoring opportunities. The total points should approach the projected 54.5, with Memphis’s offense consistently finding the end zone while the Panthers manage to put up moderate points.

Final Prediction

Memphis Tigers to win comfortably, likely by 17 to 21 points. A safe bet is Memphis covering the -13.5 spread with the game going over the 54.5-point mark.