Iowa vs Nebraska prediction and analysis

November 24, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers: Week 14 Analysis

The upcoming Week 14 matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Nebraska Cornhuskers presents a compelling clash of styles, strengths, and vulnerabilities. Both teams have showcased unique attributes throughout the season, and key player performances will play a pivotal role in deciding the outcome.

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Key Player Performances

  • Emmett Johnson (Nebraska): Ranking 5th nationally in rushing attempts with 222 carries, Johnson is the workhorse of Nebraska’s offense. His ability to consistently gain yards on the ground will be crucial for controlling the clock and establishing offensive rhythm.
  • Mark Gronowski (Iowa): Averaging 14 touchdowns this season, tying him for 9th in the FBS, Gronowski is a significant red zone threat for the Hawkeyes. His proficiency in finding the endzone can keep Iowa competitive in tight contests.

Team Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Nebraska Defense: Nebraska ranks third nationally in limiting first-quarter opponent points, allowing just 2.1 points per game. This highlights their ability to start games strongly and potentially swing momentum early.
  • Nebraska Special Situations: Their 4th down conversion percentage is low at 31.8%, ranking them 129th nationally. This inefficiency could limit Nebraska’s ability to extend drives in critical moments.
  • Iowa Defense: Iowa boasts an impressive defensive record against second-half points, allowing only 6.3 points per game in the 2nd half, ranking 6th overall. This suggests they have the stamina and tactical adjustments to shut down opposition late in the game.
  • Iowa Offense: Struggles through the air, ranking 131st nationally in passing yards per game at 134.8. This lack of aerial attack diversity means Iowa relies heavily on their ground game and defense to win games.

Prediction Summary

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Considering the matchup dynamics, Nebraska’s ground-heavy offense led by Emmett Johnson will look to control possession early, leveraging their strong first-quarter defense to build a lead. Iowa’s resilient defense, especially in the second half, indicates this will remain a tightly contested game into the final quarters. However, Nebraska’s inefficiency on 4th down conversions could stall critical drives, which Iowa might capitalize on.

Ultimately, this game may hinge on whether Iowa’s defense can hold Nebraska’s rushing attack without being able to counter effectively through the air. Given Iowa’s defensive strength in the latter half and Nebraska’s offensive limitations in critical situations, Iowa appears poised to eke out a close victory or at least keep the game within a narrow margin.

Final Prediction

Iowa Hawkeyes to win a close game, with a final score margin within 7 points.