Georgia vs Florida prediction and analysis
Matchup Overview
On November 1, 2025, the Georgia Bulldogs (6-1) face off against the Florida Gators (3-4) in a highly anticipated SEC clash at 3:30 PM EDT. Georgia enters this contest as a favorite with a 7-point spread, while the over/under sits at 50.5. This game pits a dominant Georgia team against a struggling Florida squad seeking to gain momentum.
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Key Team Insights
- Georgia Bulldogs: Georgia has been a powerhouse in November games, boasting a remarkable 21-game winning streak against non-AP-ranked opponents during this month. They’ve also demonstrated consistency against the spread, covering in each of their last three games as a favorite. Their offense is potent late in games, ranking tied for 10th in the nation with 9.7 points scored per third quarter. Georgia’s efficiency on critical downs shines as well, being tied for 9th nationally in 4th down conversion percentage at 72.7%.
- Florida Gators: Florida has struggled notably against elite competition, having lost seven straight neutral site games against AP-ranked teams and failing to cover the spread in four consecutive matchups as underdogs against top-5 AP-ranked squads. Their 3rd down conversion rate is an area of concern, ranking 128th nationally at just 32.2%, which hampers their ability to sustain drives. However, their red zone efficiency is impressive, tied for 9th in the country at 95.7%, indicating they capitalize effectively when inside the 20-yard line.
Statistical and Recent Trends Analysis
Scoring trends suggest this game may tilt toward a high-scoring affair as 13 of Florida’s last 15 games against top-15 teams at neutral sites have gone over the total points line. Similarly, Georgia’s last four games played in Florida have all surpassed the over/under, highlighting an offensive shootout likelihood.
Georgia’s edge in sustaining drives on critical downs and their ability to put points on the board in the third quarter may create separation, especially against Florida’s weak third down conversion metric. Florida’s red zone prowess could keep the contest competitive, but their challenges in extending drives outside the red zone could limit scoring opportunities.
Prediction Summary
Given Georgia’s dominant November history, their proficiency in clutch situational football, and Florida’s struggles against high-caliber opponents on neutral ground, Georgia is poised to control the pace and secure the victory. The Bulldogs’ balanced attack and timely offense in the second half should help them not only win but also cover the 7-point spread.
Final Prediction
Georgia to win and cover the spread (-7), with the final score projected around 34-21.
