Delaware vs Colorado prediction and analysis

Game Overview

The upcoming matchup between the Delaware Blue Hens (1-0) and the Colorado Buffaloes (0-1) on September 6, 2025, at 3:30 PM EDT pits two teams with contrasting starts to their seasons. Colorado enters as a heavy favorite at home with a -23.5 point spread, and an over/under set at 50.5 points. This game takes place at Folsom Field, where Colorado has enjoyed a recent run of success as a favorite.

Colorado Buffaloes Team Analysis

• Home dominance as a favorite: Colorado has won each of their last nine games at Folsom Field when listed as favorites, and have also covered the spread in the last five such games, showing strong performance backing up the bettors’ confidence.
• Recent performance concerns: Despite their strong home favorite record, Colorado has lost three of their last four games overall, signaling possible inconsistency. Furthermore, they have struggled against non-conference opponents at home, failing to cover the spread in six of their last seven such games.
• First half struggles: In five of the last six home games versus non-conference teams, Colorado has trailed at halftime, which raises questions about their early-game preparedness and execution.
• Defensive highlights: This season, Colorado ranks tied for first among FBS teams in fewest points allowed in the first quarter (0.0), highlighting a strong early defensive effort.
• Low scoring trend: Their previous four games have all finished under the total points line, indicating a potentially slower tempo or defensive-heavy style.

Delaware Blue Hens Team Analysis

• Strong statistical starts: Delaware mirrors Colorado in preventing early scores, also ranking tied first nationally for fewest points allowed in the first quarter (0.0), suggesting their defense is similarly tough out of the gate.
• Conversion efficiency: They lead the FBS in fourth-down conversion percentage this season at 100%, which suggests an aggressive and successful approach in maintaining drives and managing critical situations.
• Underdog challenge: Despite being a perceived underdog and playing on the road, Delaware’s strong first-quarter defense and success in sustaining drives may keep this game closer than the odds suggest.

Key Matchup Considerations

• Colorado’s historical success at Folsom Field as favorites provides them with a psychological and environmental edge.
• Delaware’s exceptional fourth-down efficiency could challenge Colorado’s defensive units and sustain drives that disrupt the Buffaloes’ rhythm.
• Both teams’ ability to shut down opponents early hints the game might start defensively and tactically rather than offensively explosive.
• The Buffaloes’ struggles against non-conference opponents at home and Delaware’s sharp red-zone execution suggest possible opportunities for the visitors to keep the game competitive.

Prediction Summary

While Colorado holds significant advantages in home-field dominance and historical performance as favorites, recent inconsistencies and challenges against non-conference teams temper expectations for a blowout. Delaware’s aggressive fourth-down success and strong early defense indicate they could keep this contest within a more reasonable margin.

Expect Colorado to leverage its home environment, improve first-half execution, and lean on its defensive strength; however, Delaware’s resilience and situational efficiency should prevent a runaway score.

Final Prediction: Colorado wins 27-14, covering the spread narrowly but not by the full 23.5 points favored.