Colorado vs Kansas State prediction and analysis
Game Overview
The Week 14 showdown at Bill Snyder Family Stadium features the Colorado Buffaloes visiting the Kansas State Wildcats. Both teams enter this contest with starkly different trajectories; Colorado is enduring a tough stretch, looking to snap a four-game losing streak, while Kansas State aims to keep their bowl game hopes alive in front of their home crowd.
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Key Factors and Recent Trends
- Colorado Buffaloes Struggles: The Buffaloes have been underperforming notably in November, losing their last 12 games as an underdog during this month. Currently on a four-game skid, Colorado also has failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive matchups as an underdog against unranked teams. Additionally, they’ve consistently trailed at halftime against conference opponents, losing the first half in five straight games.
- Kansas State Wildcat Consistency: The Wildcats have demonstrated strong home performances, boasting 13 wins in their last 16 games versus non-ranked teams at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. However, their November record is shaky, with six losses in eight games this month, and they have struggled to cover the spread as favorites in recent outings.
- Scoring Trends: Offensively, Kansas State shines particularly in the third quarter, ranking 9th in the FBS for points scored in that period. Defensively, however, they have shown vulnerability in the fourth quarter, surrendering nearly 9.3 points on average. Both teams contribute to high-scoring affairs recently, as the last four conference games at Kansas State and three of Colorado’s last four games have gone over the total points line.
- Special Teams Impact: Kick returns will be an important phase — with Bryce Noernberg (Colorado) and Quentin Gibson (Kansas State) ranking in the top 15 nationally for kick return yards. Field position gained here could influence momentum shifts.
- Defensive Concerns for Colorado: Colorado ranks near the bottom nationally for rushing defense, allowing 224 yards per game on the ground, which could be exploited by Kansas State. They have also struggled in the second quarter, losing that segment in five consecutive games.
- Spread and Betting Angles: Historically, the favorite has covered against Colorado recently, and underdogs have done well against Kansas State, indicating this could be a close game not fitting typical betting patterns straightforwardly.
Prediction Summary
While Kansas State’s recent inconsistencies in November pose questions, their solid home record and ability to capitalize on Colorado’s defensive weaknesses should give them the edge. Colorado’s ongoing struggles in early halves and defense against the run will be critical factors that likely tilt the game in the Wildcats’ favor. Expect a competitive match with multiple lead changes, but Kansas State’s third-quarter firepower and home field advantage should propel them to a win.
Final Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats to win by 7 points
