Buffalo vs Massachusetts prediction and analysis

October 14, 2025
CFB Predictions
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Buffalo Bulls vs Massachusetts Minutemen Preview

On October 18, 2025, the Buffalo Bulls (3-3) take on the Massachusetts Minutemen (0-6) in a critical mid-season clash. Buffalo enters this contest favored by 17 points, reflecting their clear advantage in both talent and recent performance. The Minutemen are still searching for their first win and face a tough road test against a Bulls team that has demonstrated resilience and defensive strength.

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Key Matchup Factors

  • Buffalo’s Defensive Prowess: The Bulls rank tied for 18th among FBS teams in first-half points allowed, giving up just 7.5 points on average. Their defense should be able to contain a struggling Massachusetts offense that has scored limited touchdowns this season.
  • Massachusetts Offensive Struggles: The Minutemen’s leading touchdown scorer, Grant Jordan, has only two touchdowns this year, highlighting their difficulties in putting points on the board. Their offense will likely continue to struggle against a stout Buffalo defense.
  • Buffalo’s Close-Game Experience: Despite a 3-3 record, half of Buffalo’s games have been decided by three points or fewer, showcasing their ability to compete in tight, pressure-filled contests. This experience could help them maintain composure against a desperate UMass squad.
  • Massachusetts Road Woes: UMass has suffered multiple heavy road losses by margins of 25+ and even 30+ points, which points toward potential trouble managing a tough environment against Buffalo.
  • Trends in Betting and Scoring: Buffalo has covered the spread in each of their last six October games as a road favorite against non-ranked opponents. Meanwhile, Massachusetts has failed to cover in their last four games as an underdog. Games featuring these teams have tended to go under the total points line, suggesting a defensive contest.

Prediction Summary

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Buffalo’s strong defensive performances combined with their experience in close games and Massachusetts’ offensive challenges paint a clear picture. The Bulls are poised to handle the Minutemen effectively, keeping the game controlled and within their comfortable favor.

Expect Buffalo to build an early lead behind stout defense and secure a solid, confident victory. The 17-point spread looks achievable given Massachusetts’ ongoing struggles and Buffalo’s October road favorite streak in non-ranked matchups.

Final Prediction

Buffalo Bulls to win comfortably, likely covering the -17 spread with a final score around 28-10.