Army vs Tulane prediction and analysis
Game Overview
On October 18, 2025, the Army Black Knights (3-3) travel to face the Tulane Green Wave (5-1) in a pivotal American Athletic Conference showdown. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EDT. Tulane enters as a strong favorite with a 10-point spread and the Over/Under set at 46.5 points, reflecting expectations of a moderately high-scoring contest favoring the home squad.
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Key Team Insights
- Tulane’s Offensive Edge: Tulane boasts a robust offense, ranking 7th nationally in fourth down conversion percentage against at 25%, signaling their ability to sustain drives under pressure. The Green Wave also control the clock effectively, averaging 33:03 minutes of possession per game, which can grind down the opposition’s defense.
- Army’s Rushing but Limited Passing: Army’s offense relies heavily on its ground game, but the passing attack ranks near the bottom at 136th nationally, averaging a modest 79 passing yards per game. This one-dimensional offense could be a challenge against a defense like Tulane’s that thrives on creating turnovers and limiting explosive plays.
- Special Teams and Kickers: Army’s Patrick Durkin is leading the American Conference with 13 field goals made, an indication the Black Knights often move the ball into scoring range but settle for kicks rather than touchdowns. This may reflect offensive stalls that Tulane can capitalize on.
- Running Game Anomaly: Notably, Army’s Noah Short has accumulated the most rushing yards (330) in the conference without a rushing touchdown, suggesting difficulty in converting red-zone opportunities on the ground.
- Injury Concerns: Army will be without key player Washington, sidelined for the season due to a knee injury, which may impact their depth and defensive stability. Tulane’s injury situation is relatively stable, with reports indicating most key players are healthy after recent practices.
Battle Dynamics and Trends
Tulane’s strong time-of-possession and efficient fourth down defense put the onus on Army to make big plays. Army’s propensity for overtime games (two this season) highlights their resilience in close contests. However, the Green Wave’s balanced attack and home-field advantage should limit these tight scenarios.
Prediction Summary
Expect Tulane to leverage their home advantage and superior offensive execution to control the game tempo. Army’s limited passing game and red-zone inefficiencies will likely hamper their ability to keep pace. Tulane should be able to extend their winning streak with a convincing victory, covering the 10-point spread and keeping under the 46.5 total points prediction.
Final Prediction
Tulane Green Wave to win by 14 points
Prediction: Tulane -10
