Akron vs UAB prediction and analysis

Matchup Overview
The Akron Zips (0-2) will travel to face the UAB Blazers (1-1) on September 13, 2025, in what appears to be a challenging encounter for the visiting team. With UAB favored by 10.5 points and the total set at 55.5, this game not only tests Akron’s resilience but also examines whether UAB can break its streaks and capitalize on home-field advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akron’s September Woes on the Road: The Zips have a daunting history in September road games, losing their last 15 matches. This streak serves as a significant psychological and performance barrier against UAB.
- UAB’s September Struggles Against Non-Top-25 Teams: Despite being home favorites, UAB has consistently stumbled, losing their last seven September games against non-AP-ranked opponents. They have also failed to cover the spread in three of the last four non-conference games.
- Home Team Dominance: The home team has won each of UAB’s last five games, reinforcing the idea that the Blazers benefit substantially from playing at home.
- Spreading the Points: Akron has not managed to cover the spread in six consecutive September games versus non-ranked foes, while UAB has found success covering in six of their last eight September home favorite games.
- Defensive Concerns for UAB: A critical question remains whether UAB’s defense can hold up sufficiently to secure a comfortable victory and cover the double-digit spread.
Prediction Summary
While Akron’s poor historical performance and UAB’s home-field advantage favor the Blazers, UAB’s recent struggles against non-ranked teams temper expectations. Given the trends, UAB should secure a win but likely fall short of a dominant blowout. The forecast includes a moderately paced game with a closer-than-expected margin.
Final Prediction
UAB to win by about 7 points, potentially failing to cover the 10.5-point spread. Expect a score slightly below the posted over/under total, as defenses on both sides will likely constrain the offense.