Trader Suspected of Exploiting Insider Information for Polymarket Bets

Introduction

A recent social media post has sparked widespread speculation regarding a trader on Polymarket who reportedly earned over $1 million in a single day by placing bets on markets related to Google search trends.

Allegations of Insider Trading

The individual, known by the username “AlphaRacoon,” is suspected of having access to confidential Google data. Observers point to the trader’s remarkably precise predictions, suggesting insider knowledge rather than mere luck.

Evidence shared in the post includes screenshots and blockchain records that indicate the timing of the trader’s bets closely aligns with Google’s official announcements before they were publicly released.

The social media user claimed, “A Google insider has been identified on Polymarket, making over $1 million in a single day by betting on Google-related search markets.” They further mentioned that this trader achieved 22 successful bets out of 23, amassed $3.9 million in active positions, and had previously earned $150,000 by forecasting the early release of Gemini 3.0.

Unusually High Accuracy and Major Bets

According to reports, Google briefly published its list of the year’s most searched names and topics before quickly removing it. During that short time frame, “AlphaRacoon” had already placed bets closely matching this unpublished information.

The trader’s active positions summed to nearly $3.9 million, with a notable $10,000 wager on “d4vd” being the top search, yielding approximately 20 times the original stake.

This incident is not isolated; the same account had previously made an accurate prediction about the early release of Gemini 3.0, netting more than $150,000 before any official announcement was made.

Reactions and Aftermath

Following the spread of these accusations, the trader changed their username on Polymarket, likely in an attempt to avoid scrutiny. However, blockchain transparency means such changes do not conceal past actions.

Whether “AlphaRacoon” truly has insider access to Google’s data remains uncertain, but the pattern of bets strongly suggests the involvement of privileged information.