Kalshi Faces Legal Challenges in Nevada Over Sports Betting Markets

December 18, 2025
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Kalshi’s Expansion Sparks Concern Among Nevada Regulators

Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is encountering significant legal resistance in Nevada as it attempts to expand its operations nationwide. The state’s long-standing regulatory stance on gambling is coming into conflict with Kalshi’s business model, leading to potential enforcement actions that could include criminal charges. A recent federal court decision denied Kalshi a stay, paving the way for Nevada authorities to pursue their case more aggressively.

Regulatory Actions Following Court Decisions

A federal judge recently lifted a preliminary injunction that had protected Kalshi from the Nevada Gaming Control Board’s regulatory efforts. This development allows the board to enforce its previous cease-and-desist order against Kalshi, accusing the platform of providing sports betting services without the necessary state license. Under Nevada law, offering unlicensed sports bets carries severe penalties.

Federal vs State Legal Interpretations

Kalshi bases its defense on its registration with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), asserting that its event contracts are financial instruments subject to federal commodities laws rather than state gambling statutes. This rationale supported Kalshi’s earlier success with political prediction markets, particularly during election cycles.

However, the company’s extension into sports-related contracts—covering leagues such as the NFL, NBA, and college sports—has raised concerns among regulators who view these offerings as akin to traditional sportsbooks. This shift has heightened scrutiny and opposition at the state level.

Judicial Skepticism and Ongoing Pressure

Judge Andrew Gordon expressed considerable doubt regarding Kalshi’s interpretation of federal law, acknowledging the legal complexities but ultimately finding the company’s position unlikely to succeed. As a result, the judge denied a stay, leaving Kalshi vulnerable while it appeals the decision to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals.

The appeals process may take several weeks, during which Kalshi must decide how to proceed. The company could choose to restrict access to its platform in Nevada to avoid penalties, following the precedent set by other companies in similar disputes. Alternatively, it could continue operations in the state and face enforcement actions ranging from fines to possible criminal penalties.

Challenges Beyond Nevada

Kalshi has opposed the idea of shutting down service based on state boundaries, arguing that geofencing is costly and may conflict with CFTC regulations. Nonetheless, other platforms have effectively implemented such measures, weakening Kalshi’s stance. Additionally, regulators in states like Ohio, New York, Maryland, and Connecticut have also challenged Kalshi’s sports betting markets, contributing to the platform’s mounting legal difficulties.